Interest rates – so where to now?
Sunday, September 6th, 2009
That’s it folks – we hit the worst and things are going to get better now.
Well, that’s one reasonable interpretation of the economic signals. Another seems to be that we may just stay as we are for a while longer till something spurs a lift.
Having narrowly escaped a technical recession thanks to the economy growing by just 0.4% there seems to be a more buoyant air especially with the banks, that’s if the five year fixed rate is anything to go by.
Most banks have the five year fixed rate at an average of about 7% which seems to be an enormous hike over the cash rate of 3.00%.
This is giving the banks an unusually high premium on fixed rates and is certainly an indication that they’re not expecting further interest rate cuts and in fact exactly the opposite.
On the other hand Reserve Bank chief, Glen Stevens and some of the bank economists are still making noises about the possibility of interest rates having to be lowered further before they rise again.
One would presume they’re taking the view that if the economy doesn’t move through outside influences pulling it upwards, then it may have to cut interest rates a tad more to keep things moving.
Should that occur it’s obviously not expected to be a long term scenario if the premium on the fixed term rate is anything to go by.
All these reports are causing a great amount of ‘should we or shouldn’t we’ speculation as to whether it’s time to fix loans.
Right now, almost without exception clients are choosing to stick with variable rate loans, possibly believing that fixed rates have not reached levels which would justify a switch.
However, you may well see things differently. In the end it’s up to you to decide on when to fix.
What we can do, however, is take you through all the loan options available to you including looking at whether a fixed rate would suit your circumstances.
In any case, with interest rates this low, it’s wise to reassess your finances so come in for a chat with one of our consultants.
Fortunately, as a first home buyer there are a number of other factors that could help make your entry into home ownership that little bit easier. Interest rates are falling and house prices are lower.